AFRIANINGSIH PUTRI, SP, AFRIANINGSIH PUTRI, SP
(2014)
ANALISIS PENGARUH PAJAK EKSPOR (BEA KELUAR)
TERHADAP VOLUME EKSPOR, KETERSEDIAAN DOMESTIK
DAN HARGA DOMESTIK BIJI KAKAO INDONESIA.
Other thesis, ANDALAS UNIVERSITY.
Abstract
ANALYZE THE EFFECT OF A COCOA EXPORT TAX TO VOLUME
EXPORT, THE AVAILABILITY OF DOMESTIC AND DOMESTIC PRICE
OF INDONESIA COCOA BEANS
by: Afrianingsih Putri, SP
(Under the Guidance of Dr.Ir Osmet,MSc dan Dr.Ir Rusda Khairati,Msi)
ABSTRACT
This study aims to: (1) analyze the effect of a cocoa export tax to volume of
Indonesian cocoa export, (2) analyze the effect of export volume and export tax on
domestic availability and effect domestic availability to price of cocoa beans. This
study used secondary data from January 2009 to December 2012 (in units of time
monthly). Analysis uses econometric models with simultaneous equations by the
method of Two Stages Least Square (2SLS).
The results of the analysis shows that export tax has a negative relationship to
the volume of export and domestic prices, and positively related to the domestic
availability of cocoa beans. The volume of exports has a negative relationship to the
domestic availability and also has a positive relationship to domestic prices.
In addition, the tax on export volume equation is also significantly affected by
the production and the exchange rate, while previous export prices is not significant.
On the domestic availability of the equation, it is influenced by the production,
export volume, export prices and import prices, while imports have no significant
effect. On the domestic price equation, it is influenced by domestic prices while the
domestic variables production has no significant effect.
From the F-Test result of three models shows a larger value than the F-table
and the coefficient of determination (R2) is quite high. On the export volume
equation, F-test value is 49.990 (49.990> 2.324) and the value of R2 = 0.851. On the
domestic availability equation, F-test value is 528.08 (528.08> 2.438) and the value
of R2 = 0.987. While the domestic availability equation F-test value is 23.66. (23.66>
2.589) and the value of R2 = 0.620. The value of F-test shows exogenous variables in
the equation are jointly able to give effect to the endogenous variables. While the
value of the coefficient of determination in the equation shows most of the variation
is explained by the variable endogenous able eksogennya
Key words: export taxes, export volume, the availability of domestic, domestic price.
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